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Overconfidence and Hindsight Bias
Grade Level
Psychology
PSY.171 Overconfidence and Hindsight Bias
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Which statement is best worded to avoid overconfidence while still making a prediction?
A
'I cannot be wrong, so checking is unnecessary.'
B
'Option B must be right because it feels familiar.'
C
'The evidence points to option B, but I am not certain and should check my reasoning.'
D
'After the key is posted, I will say option B was obvious.'
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