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Sociology
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Demographic Transition
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Sociology
SOC.294 Demographic Transition
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A pandemic year raises the death rate far above its prior trend in a late-stage society. What is the soundest classification approach?
A
Assign Stage 1 immediately because one annual death rate is high.
B
Use a multi-year series and identify the pandemic as a temporary shock before deciding whether the underlying stage changed.
C
Remove all pandemic deaths from official statistics without explanation.
D
Assume fertility rose because mortality rose.
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